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  • February 2017 (4)

    How shall the corporate sector respond to the crisis? First challenge is the ‘You do not say embarrassment’
    Güven Sak, PhD 24 February 2009
    We are living the deepest and most far reaching crisis of the world history. The crisis is approaching our shores in full flood. Did you notice the emphasis: It has not arrived yet, it is to arrive. So, what shall be done in such an environment? What kind of an attitude shall be assumed in particular by the corporate sector? There exist a number of views with this respect starting with the importance of being innovative and ending with defining the opportunities created by the crisis in the right time. But one thing is obvious: it is crucial to make a move forward and act differently than the past. But, in our case, it is not so. In the process we are in, it is more important to avoid making a move. Let us state it clearly: It is time to get through the day without facing any trouble rathe [More]
    What is that smell over the Balkans this time?
    Güven Sak, PhD 21 February 2009
    In 1930s, Rebecca West writing about the Balkans said "I hate the corpses of empires, they stink as nothing else." Back in that decade, Austria-Hungary Empire and the Ottoman Empire had just collapsed. The Balkans was in chaos, just like today. It seems that the smell of a closed era have spread all over the Balkans. Just as West said, the smell in the air is unbearable. Nowadays, the Balkans lives in the economic crisis climate. With this economic crisis, the global crisis has for the first time attained a different feature unique for countries like Turkey. We have to follow up the developments in the Balkans attentively, for three reasons. Let us first see what is going on in the Balkans nowadays. [More]
    Is it licit that banks are restructured by bank managers?
    Güven Sak, PhD 19 February 2009
    The answer is: No, it is not. Let us see why. The main problem of our world, nowadays, is that, it has not changed despite a whole year passed. The source of the problem is the US banks. It is necessary to do a comprehensive cleaning in the balance sheets of banks. Comprehensive cleaning operation has not been launched yet. Under these circumstances, banks fail to function. When the banking system fails to function, plans designed to boost consumption fails to be effective from the very beginning. Then, it is crucial to ensure that the banking sector restarts functioning before focusing on the measures required to boost consumption. The current state of affairs in the US carried the discussions to the following point: "Is it possible that banks are restructured by bank managers?" And the a [More]
    The ones missing the essence of the matter will just be laughed at
    Güven Sak, PhD 17 February 2009
    Life is becoming harder and harder for the ones missing the dynamics of the global economic crisis. Are you aware of the local example that is apparent with all aspects? Lately, the countries all round the world are shaken as the impacts of the global crisis are becoming apparent in full flood. However, in case of Turkey, our rulers are of the opinion that there is no anomaly. Honorable Prime Minister of Turkey recently said that "The economy will begin recovering as of June". Minister of Treasury had expressed "interest rate and exchange rate are on track thanks to the measures we have taken". There is the dead of winter outside, but the rulers are talking about sunny summer. In such a period, the ones failing to keep in mind or even recognize the essence of the matter will just be laughe [More]
    Is February 3rd good or bad?
    Güven Sak, PhD 14 February 2009
    I wonder whether anyone told President Obama to "Beware of the February 3rd". We cannot know the answer. If the two developments that happened on the third day of February 2009 are addressed in conjunction, the impacts reach even here in Turkey. The first development is that a bridge in Pakistan, Peshawar was blown up. All the traffic on the Khyber Pass was suspended for the third time in the last six months. Second development of the day was in Kirghizstan. President of Kirghizstan Kurmanbek Bakiyev announced that the Manas Air Base next to the Bishkek Airport, granted to the US was to be closed. There were problems between two countries arising from the lease contract. Thus, the issue of establishing an alternative supply chain for the NATO forces in Afghanistan became the core of the ag [More]
    When does protectionism become a legitimate argument?
    Güven Sak, PhD 10 February 2009
    Two days ago British people were making a protest with the slogan "British jobs for British workers". The world is going through a process not we are unfamiliar with but we have forgotten for a period of time. This transition period will eventually end. The unknown element is what is going to happen at the end of the transition period. What is going to happen next is closely related with what we are going to do nowadays. What is going on? This is: The mechanism ensuring the functioning of the global economy with liberty is not working anymore. In such a period, there are two options ahead: We will either acknowledge that global crises require global solutions and introduce global measures along with the rest of the world or say "everyman will shape his own future". The fatalism in the latt [More]
    Okay, but what do the people living in Gaza thinks?
    Güven Sak, PhD 07 February 2009
    Have you ever seen Gaza? The first time I saw Gaza was in 2005. Israel had just retreated from Gaza. It was the times of the disengagement policy of Ariel Sharon. Gaza was under Palestinian rule. The initial impressions one could catch at a glance were: First, there was hung a flag with different color on top of each house. However, none of those flags was national flag of Palestine. Colors of flags varied from one neighborhood to another. Orange ones were al-Fatih flags, green ones were Hamas flags, black ones Islamic Jihad flags and red ones were Palestinian Liberation Front flags.  One would easily understand that he/she is walking around a more political part of Palestine as compared to West Bank. Gaze was divided from one neighborhood to another. Second, the areas named Organized Indu [More]
    Where does the difference between Korea and Turkey lie?
    Güven Sak, PhD 05 February 2009
    Nowadays, figures pertaining to the economy are not as exhilarating as before. Export figures for January indicated a 28% decrease. Yes, the performance of Turkey is bad, but are the Asian countries shown as examples of export-oriented growth model performing better? No, they are not. Recently, January export figures for Korea were also announced; exports of Korea have diminished by 32.8%. What is the result? Korea, one of the export leaders of Asia, is experiencing a trade deficit just like we do and more importantly for the first time since the Asian crisis of 1997. Then, where does the difference between the Korea and Turkey lie? [More]
    We are at a point where foreign policy will determine economic policy
    Güven Sak, PhD 03 February 2009
    The world has become a strange place. We are right in the middle of a global economic crisis that has deeply affected all of us and that tends to affect even further.  The global crisis originated from the US. What would you expect in such a condition? You would think that "the US hegemony has come to an end", wouldn't you? However, the reality does not seem so and also does not seem to evolve in that direction. President Obama keeps saying "we are done, we are ruined" all day long, but the present tendencies indicate that the US is still an important economic actor. We are rapidly entering a new environment. If you are wondering how the US will manage to preserve its importance in this new economic environment, please go on reading. [More]
    “For God’s sake, what aspect of this crisis psychological!”
    Güven Sak, PhD 31 January 2009
    Doomsday Superstitions Catalogue; Entry No Two: "For God's sake, what aspect of this crisis psychological!" Since the international banking crisis hit the shores of Turkey, a form of explanation that is not even slightly related with the reality began to spread around. Whenever you say the word "crisis", people, with the common pedantry of those who does not know anything, take the lead and say "hey, that is totally psychological" even before you start talking about the measures needed to be taken. They assume such an attitude as if there is no problem in reality and you had a sort of a nightmare so that all problems will disappear once you wake up. Or, as if the problem will disappear completely right away if you do not ever mention it. Well, this is not the case. The people thinking that [More]