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tepav@tepav.org.tr / tepav.org.trTEPAV veriye dayalı analiz yaparak politika tasarım sürecine katkı sağlayan, akademik etik ve kaliteden ödün vermeyen, kar amacı gütmeyen, partizan olmayan bir araştırma kuruluşudur.
Time is ticking away for everyone regarding Iran. While the United  States tries to corner Iran, it runs out the clock as it did in the  past. It hopes to possess nuclear weapons as early as possible, thus  dickering with the U.S. and Western actors in a different position.  Within this framework, it is possible to see the narrowing gap while  looking at the bigger picture. 
This situation chivies not only Iran and the U.S. but also everybody to have to position rapidly. Undoubtedly,  Turkey is in the lead among the countries in the most difficult  position, since it is an ally of the U.S. in the region and a member of  NATO. The government is very well aware of what it means to say no to  the U.S. when the time is ripe because of its experience with the U.S.  in the Iraq War of 2003. It is still remembering how it struggled to  climb over the crisis that appeared in the wake of the Iraq War. For  this reason, as the government’s room for maneuver narrows, its concerns  keep increasing. 
While the size of the relationship with the  U.S. is at this point, Turkey’s economic, political, ideological and  geographical relations with Iran continue at a higher level. Iran, with a  sound attitude, exposes Turkey with a serious dilemma by showing an  interest before the media with soft means. 
We know Davutoğlu’s  efforts to convince Iran about Turkey’s “neutral” position are condemned  to stay just as ineffectual actions in his recent Tehran visit. The way  to understand this passes through listening carefully to what Iranian  officials said instead of their “official discourse” before the cameras  and statements of religious leadership and the people around them. 
On  the other hand, Iran is also worried about Turkey. For example,  Turkey’s policy toward Syria is enough to make Iran unhappy. Turkey’s  decisive role in political developments in Syria continues as the U.S.  and Britain supported activity. In the end, Iran is about to lose its  greatest ally in the region. 
In the meantime Iran is not idle  while continuing to respond to Turkey’s Syrian policies over Iraq.  Iran’s intervention in Iraqi domestic policy harasses Turkey. As a  matter of fact, Prime Minister Erdoğan has stated clearly that he is  annoyed with the Iraqi prime minister’s sectarian attitude, and the  potential of its switching into an internal conflict is high. While  Erdoğan makes this statement, he is aware of Iran’s role about what is  going on in Iraq. 
Another development that accelerates and adds a  new dimension to those developments is Turkey’s allowing the  establishment of a radar system as a NATO member. Even a mediocre  military expert could say that the target of the radar is Iran. 
The increasing tension over the Gulf between the U.S. and Iran and backstage efforts of Britain make out a clearer picture. 
Davutoğlu  must understand that its efforts are not enough either to change  Turkey’s destiny arising from its geography or preventing nuclear  crisis. Iran is aware of this and is trying to gain as much time as  possible and trail a large number of actors. In terms of Iran, the best  candidate to be drifted to dilemma seems to be Turkey. Prime Minister  Erdoğan, contrary to Davutoğlu, would not want to experience a similar  testing again after the Iranian experience at the United Nations.
This commentary was published in Hürriyet Daily News on 12.01.2012