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tepav@tepav.org.tr / tepav.org.trTEPAV veriye dayalı analiz yaparak politika tasarım sürecine katkı sağlayan, akademik etik ve kaliteden ödün vermeyen, kar amacı gütmeyen, partizan olmayan bir araştırma kuruluşudur.
Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu delivered a speech regarding the Middle East in general and Syria on  Apr 24. His remarks were quite interesting and decorated with “foreign  policy values of today’s world”. During all of his speech he emphasized  that his government absolutely does not pursue religious, ethnic and  sectarian differences. Again, he explained that they do not intend to  change the regime. It was exciting.
The speech has got a series  of messages for both the international and domestic public. I want to  focus on two subjects regarding the speech. After all, like Davutoğlu  said “a new order is being set - we are setting a new order in the  Middle East” and we are witnesses to this.
The argument used by  Davutoğlu to criticize the opposition at parliament was the first thing  that drew my attention. He accused those who criticize his party’s  policies of being the Turkish version of Ba’ath ideology. Implicitly but  openly for a Sunni, he needed to base his critics on sectarian  identities. Even though this is a pleasing attitude for voters with  “Sunni world” perception, remarks made through “values” have lost their  meaning all of a sudden.
The second striking issue for me was  about the function of the United Nations Supervision Mission. He means  that mission should make arrangements for vulnerable insurgents instead  of helping a cease-fire. This “bright” idea implies that the operational  area for the Assad government must be narrowed, while the insurgents  are being reinforced. Davutoğlu has described this task under three  titles.
“The first one is that the Syrian Army has to withdraw  from cities into their barracks, completely clearing all doubts and quit  posing a threat,” he said. In other words, the insurgents must be  provided the ability and opportunity to finish their preparations. They  must be organized and be ready to resist effectively in cities.
 
“The  second is the United Nations Supervision Mission – 300 people are not  enough – it has to spread all over the Syrian territory with much larger  numbers,” Davutoğlu said. To me this means that the Assad regime must  be repressed everywhere, taken under control so that Assad will lose  control and the insurgents must be able to spread all over the country. 
“As for the third one – basic test lies here – an environment must be provided for free to hold peaceful demonstration.”
According to Davutoğlu, insurgents could manipulate people to gain the authority in the cities and towns easily.
As  seen above, to my understanding, Davutoğlu draws a picture of a  preparation committee for insurgents under the title of UN Supervision  Mission so that this committee will free everyone from all problems. And  also “neighbors” who do not want to be involved in risky businesses  like organizing the insurgents, giving arms, providing logistics and a  safe heaven get out of a jam, while the necessity for an international  military intervention is removed. Thanks to this bright idea, it by  itself would contribute greatly to “insurgency” history.
Since  “revolution will occur permanently ” in the Middle East, then relevant  problems can be solved easily by deploying “UN Supervision Missions”  instead of military.
This commentary was published on 03.05.2012 in Hürriyet Daily News.