Archive

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    It is never too late to mend
    Güven Sak, PhD 27 March 2009
    For the last three days we have been talking about the negative impacts of the global crisis on Turkey and how these impacts can be limited. Actually, it is possible to say that this subject is depressing. While we were discussing on growth strategy only two years ago, the recent subject is successful management of the contractionary period. Crisis management mainly means ensuring that the economy nowadays will contract orderly. In this context, crisis management does not refer to the elimination but limitation of damage. We have two options: Either the crisis will manage us or we will manage the crisis. Former will incur more damage. This is the first point the study carried out by TEPAV reveals. [More]
    Did you see the logo of Recovery Program?
    Güven Sak, PhD 21 March 2009
    Sometimes, how do you do something might be as important as that thing itself. The campaign in the US to tackle the crisis, which also involves the struggle against the crisis psychology, is an example for this. Have you seen the logo of the campaign to tackle the crisis carried out under the scope of the "American Recovery and Reinvestment Act"? They have established a campaign that has an institutional identity. Let us show you this campaign and its logo as a whole. Let us identify what the campaign involves and what we fail to do so that a clear picture appears in your minds. Because this issue becomes more prominent in the current period where the Turkish government has found the "correct path" and started to move in the right direction. [More]
    “Man, is the crisis ending?”
    Güven Sak, PhD 19 March 2009
    No, it is not. What makes you think so? It is not even close. That the Turkish government has finally started to move in the right direction is not enough. There are still a lot of steps to take and a series of measures to be implemented. It is impossible to conclude "man, is the crisis ending?" solely relying on the rise in demand for automobiles after tax cuts. This is a flash in the pen. Nonetheless, it also involves a good message. [More]
    Turkish government is finally moving in the right direction
    Güven Sak, PhD 17 March 2009
    Finally, news stating that a set of steps considering the troubled sectors will be taken has been spreading around. In fact, we do not know what is going on exactly since there is no official statement yet. However, as the items leaking of the package are considered, it seems that the denial period ended. The government now gives the impression that it is moving in the right direction. However, finally starting to move in the right direction does not necessarily mean reaching the targeted destination. The crisis is still present and it is certainly the crisis of Turkey now. What is pleasing is that the "deeply sleeping beauty" has finally waked up. At this point, this is what we must feel happy about. The crisis, has taken the attention of the Turkish government for the first time since Se [More]
    This is not just an economic crisis
    Güven Sak, PhD 12 March 2009
    Are you aware that the current global disaster is not just an economic crisis in the sense we have been used to during the last three decades? Decision-makers, including Honorable Prime Minister of Turkey, may not be aware of this yet; but USA President Barrack Obama is. Let us see how we know he is aware and what we miss. [More]
    “I am currently feeling what the figures will tell you two months from now”
    Güven Sak, PhD 10 March 2009
    A few days ago, a businessman while explaining senior bureaucrats the problems companies in his city face said "I am currently feeling what the figures will tell you two months from now". Is not this basically what happens? Nowadays, balance sheets for 2008 are being announced. What do we learn? We learn the condition of the company in 2008. Now, it is March 2009. Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) announces 2008 data with a similar delay. As a result, what is going on is reflected on the figures with a two-month delay. Balance sheets are announced and the crisis becomes evident. Announced balance sheets do not provide new information. They just validate what was evident months ago. And they underline how much Turkey needs an emergency evaluation mechanism. Today, let us emphasize ho [More]
    The reform decreases corruption perception and increases public satisfaction
    Güven Sak, PhD 07 March 2009
    First findings of the research "Vision of the Society about Public Administration and Public Services" were recently announced. The research was carried out by Fikret Adaman from Bosporus University, Ali Çarkoğlu from Sabancı University and Burhan Şenatalar from Bilgi University, on behalf of TEPAV (Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey). The data for the study carried out with the participation of around 2040 respondents from all around Turkey representing the urban population was compiled during November-December 2008. First findings were announced the week before. The comprehensive report will be published in two months. [More]
    To what degree we are ready for the Everlasting Trials Period
    Güven Sak, PhD 05 March 2009
    Are your aware that the process we are in has an everlasting period? Barack Obama, new US President explained what this period meant in the best way possible. A few days ago, he spoke: "In brief, the issue is this: We will do whatever heals the wounds. It will take time to shape all details of the complete plan pertaining to the steps to be taken. Moreover, some parts of the plan must be reevaluated and revised. Then, we will try it. If one measure does not work, we will try another one."  The words of Obama are highly in harmony with the words Franklin Delano Roosevelt used in 1930s as the latter also liked to state that his economic program composed of "brave and insistent trials". So, is this depressing? No, it is not. Accepting the reality rather than fighting against it is the prerequ [More]
    The ostrich tactic did not work; the global crisis is now the crisis of Turkey
    Güven Sak, PhD 03 March 2009
    There are different ecoles of people. Nowadays we are familiar with the kind that makes unnecessary explanations. While the global crisis becomes the crisis of Turkey, they wonder around and talk. Then, they talk again. If you incline your ear to them, you see that they are also placing advertisements here and there. In all, they are talking with big words. However, once you listen to them, your information stock and the boundaries of your analysis ability do not expand; you do not get enlightened about what you have to do. Though the things they say do not ease your suffering; they keep on talking. Nowadays, my favorite is titled "private sector that made billions of dollars borrowing in foreign currency participates in the crisis lobbies to survive". This type of explanation is in partic [More]
    What kind of a thinking shall be employed about the crisis?
    Güven Sak, PhD 26 February 2009
    We are in the middle of the biggest economic crisis of the era and we are still confused. There are two dominant approaches: The former desperately argues that there is not enough internal space of action to overcome the disaster that originated externally. A deep "no way embarrassment" can easily be observed in this approach. It assumes a sort of "who we are to deal with this huge disaster alone" attitude can be noticed. The second approach on the other hand assumes a much more hopeful attitude. It first enumerates what can be done. Then, it serves that evil question:  "Do we have the resources to accomplish those?" and a deep silence spreads around. Again the "no way embarrassment" takes the lead. The way to overcome the crisis is to overcome this dilemma. There are measures to take. Eac [More]